For decades, the issue of whether the Palestinians may build a state in their homeland in the midst of the Middle East policy – not only for the Palestinians, but for Arabs throughout the region, many of whom consider the Palestinian king.
The Arabs say that forcing the Palestinians to get out of their remaining lands, will be the Palestinian state and destabilize the entire region in this process.
Therefore, it was a nightmare for the nearest Arab neighbors, Egypt and Jordan-a dream for the government of Israel, which is dominated by the right-when President Trump suggested that everyone be removed from the Gaza Strip and their soil, an idea that a press conference for the White House with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from Israel on Tuesday.
Egypt and Jordan have responded to the “numbers” – even if they are not all their causes of pure anxiety of the Palestinian ordeal: Cairo fears what Palestinian refugees in Sinai mean to the security of Egypt. The militants can launch attacks on Israel from Egyptian lands, invite Israeli revenge, or be recruited in the local rebellion in the Sinai that fought Egypt for years. The King of Jordan must count with the population of more than half a Palestinian, in order to accept more refugees, may increase tensions.
This rejection was supported by political independents and opposition figures in Egypt, as well as its doors for the authoritarian government in the country, which confirms how the Palestinian issue can unite even bitter political opponents there.
Khaled Al -Balashi, the editor of one of the remaining few Egyptian media that is not supportive of the government, and the President of the National Journalists Union issued a statement on Wednesday calling for the proposal of Mr. Trump “a clear violation of human rights and international laws.”
Moustafa Bakry, a loud voice member in Parliament, suggested that Egypt could repel the displacement of power. He said in an interview on Wednesday: “Egypt can move forward in other measures, because the Egyptian army cannot allow this.”
But Mr. Trump showed little attention to the concerns, sovereignty of the two countries, or the idea of the Palestinian state.
“They say they will not accept,” said Mr. Trump on Egypt and Jordan during a previous meeting with Mr. Netanyahu in the Oval Office. “I say they will do.”
If he presses his suggestion, the president may have ways to bend their will. Egypt and Jordan are among the best beneficiaries of American military aid. Mr. Trump has mentioned funding in recent weeks, without publicly threatening to withdraw the Gaza case. With Egypt’s economy in crises, the government depends on loans, including from the International Monetary Fund, as the United States is the largest contributor.
One of the reasons for granting the United States billions of dollars to Egypt and Jordan over the years is its own situation as the first Arab country to agree to peace treaties with Israel. The United States mediated these agreements after years of conflict, and saw it as a key to Israel’s security. Arrangements have always been seen as basic stability to the Middle East.
Egypt was closely cooperated with Israel on security in the comfortable Sinai Peninsula, which borders Gaza and Israel. But while Egypt and Jordan come to speak, and sometimes more, with Israel, its residents have never stopped seeing Israel as an enemy, especially after its recent attack on Gaza.
Analysts say that the incentives for keeping us aid, which are a limited part of the budget of each country, are simple compared to their fears of its inhabitants by appearing with collusion while many see an ethnic cleansing of the Palestinians. Although the rulers of both countries often put a small opposition, and often use repression to silence internal criticism, analysts say they cannot ignore public opinion.
“There is no joke against Trump, especially for Egypt and Jordan.” But because “this will really be a way for the bridge very far from a lot of public opinion,” he added, “There is no other option for the Arab leader. I do not see what they can do.”
For President Abdel -Fateh Al -Sisi from Egypt, the issue is especially sensitive because he tried to mobilize public support by drawing himself as a hero for the Palestinians. Popular discontent with exhausted inflation and the mismanagement of government administration was growing before the war began in Gaza in October 2023, allowing Mr. Sisi to restore some popularity with a strong condemnation of Israel and promises to stand by the Palestinians.
However, the brilliance of the shine ended with the continuation of the war, and the Egyptian social media mocked reports on the signs that the leaders of Egypt were cooperating with Israel. The government arrested dozens of Egyptians who were protesting against Israeli actions.
Mr. Al -Sisi and his allies tried to face discontent, as the supporters of the Egyptian government often were worshiped Egypt’s role in providing humanitarian aid to Gaza and the politicians supporting the government that congratulates Mr. Sisi on the recently of the recent suspension of suspension. deal. (Egypt was one of the brokers in the deal, along with Qatar and the United States.)
Majid Mandor, an Egyptian political analyst, said that allowing the Palestinian displacement to Egypt “will” narrate “I am defending the country.”
Government officials, diplomats and analysts say that Egypt also sees the possibility of the Palestinians collectively in Egypt as a serious security threat. Officials are concerned that members of the armed groups between the displaced Palestinians by force can launch attacks on Israel from Egyptian lands, and called on Israeli military revenge.
Egypt is also careful that Hamas, the Islamic group that controls Gaza, can swing and spread its influence in Egypt. Cairo spent years in an attempt to abolish political Islam and rebellion at home.
Jordan, with its population much smaller – including many people of Palestinian origin – may be more at risk. The ownership of Jordan had a tense history with the militant Palestinian factions.
The right -wing Israelis have spoken for a long time about Jordan as a place where the Palestinians are forced to leave Gaza and the West Bank must make their homes, which raises fears in Jordan that if people are forced from Gaza to leave, then Israel will move to the West Bank.
Analysts say that many, if not all of them, are likely to have to go to Jordan, which is already unstable of tensions between citizens who are of Palestinian origin and those who are not.
However, analysts said that the militant government of Israel seemed confident of our support for its actions to the point that it may be ready to destabilize relations with its neighbors.
Hiller, an older colleague at the Royal Services Institute in London and the American Progress Center in Washington, said that relying on us in support to push his ambitions on her arduous objections to her neighbors will not be sustainable in the long run. He said, “The only way for the Serolillists to have a long -term sustainable security in the region is that they must actually integrate into the area,” he said.
Some experts, including those close to the Egyptian government, have hope that Mr. Trump was just a severe starting position that would reduce negotiations.
As a businessman, “he will withdraw when the matter does not work,” Samir Farra, a former Egyptian military officer, often commented on Egyptian security affairs in the outlets of the government supporter, predicted on Wednesday.
But Mr. Hiller said that the speech is from some of the people close to Mr. Trump who support the displacement plan and confirm that even the West Bank should consider the Jewish land to make the Arabs look at any Trump plan with severe nets.
He said that a limited copy of the plan may be “theoretically acceptable” to Egypt and Jordan, but they destroy any possibility for that, because framing everything now is, “We want to clarify that ” ” ‘