Experts have warned that US President Donald Trump has doubled comments on the removal of the Palestinians in Gaza to Jordan and Egypt, and tensions escalated with the Hashemel Kingdom and perhaps King Abdullah II left “vulnerable to blackmailing the geopolitical.”
On January 25, Trump suggested that Jordan and Egypt take two million Palestinians or so in Gaza, which raised fears that the United States was wandering in ethnic cleansing in Gaza.
Jordan and Egypt’s leaders rejected the proposal. But Trump repeated his idea on Thursday during a photo in the Oval Office, which hints to the leverage he feels.
“They will do it. Trump told the journalist:” They will do it … We are doing a lot for them, and they will do it. “
Trump’s power play
“This … represents a great confrontation,” said Sean Yom, Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Timbel.
“King Abdullah II has repeatedly said the scenario of” the alternative homeland “and increasing the Palestinian displacement is a red line … but Jordan directly depends on American aid and security assistance – the Kingdom is subject to geopolitical extortion”, which was widely written in the Middle East and North Africa Tell the island.
Analysts agree that Trump can try to force Jordan to accept the Palestinians, using this dependence on American aid.
In 1994, Israel and Jordan signed the WADI ArabA Treaty, which established diplomatic, tourism and trade relations between the two countries and put Jordan to obtain billions of dollars in the United States as debt relief.
The United States now gives Jordan $ 1.45 billion annually of bilateral foreign assistance, making it one of the best beneficiaries of foreign aid, after Israel and Egypt.
On January 20, Trump signed an executive matter directing all federal government agencies to the age of 90 days on almost all foreign development assistance, as the current programs had stopped stopping when reviewed.
A week later, a concession was approved by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio to continue “life -saving humanitarian assistance” during the 90 -day review period.
The move was sowing chaos between the United States’ programs and bodies around the world, and surpassed this when the Trump administration sent mixed signals on whether it would come into effect and how.
Dima Tukan, a non -resident researcher at the Middle East Institute, said that the suspension of aid “will affect various types of foreign assistance to the country, including budget support, support for the sector’s budget, development and humanitarian assistance projects in addition to military aid.”
For YOM, freezing can be seen “as a strong play by the new administration.”
Trump notes that “any regional matter after Gaza must adhere to the American bases … and that the old allies like Jordan do not have much in this matter.”
Analysts believe that if Trump takes advantage of aid, Jordan can be forced to rethink its alliances and aspire to the Arab Gulf states, Russia, China or the European Union to fill the financing gaps.
It can also “”[force] Jeffrey Hughes, author of the book “The Kinetic of Book and Islam and the Policy of Marriage in Jordan: Affection and Mercy,” said Jeffrey Hughes, author of the book “The Kinetic of Book and Islam and the Policy of Marriage in Jordan: Affection and Mercy”, Jeffrey Hughes, author of the book “The Book and Islam and the Policy of Marriage. In Jordan: affection and mercy, ”said Jeffrey Hughes, author of the book“ The Kinetic of Book, Islam and the Policy of Marriage in Jordan: Affairs and Mercy ”, they are to … the implementation of austerity measures that are not popular in depth that lead to expected protests.”
Hughes added: “The matter will directly collide with the security apparatus, all of this is more difficult since many assistance through the army and the police now.”
Various protests and discontent
This step can also exacerbate internal tensions in Jordan. More than a year of protests from citizens angered by the Israel war on Gaza, which killed nearly 62,000 Palestinians, shed light on Jordan’s dependence on the United States and Israel.
Many Jordanian residents, who include many Palestinians who have the nationality of Jordan and more than two million Palestinian refugees, were frustrated that the government was unwilling to reduce relations.
The major protests erupted on the actions of Israel in Gaza and the West Bank in 2023 and were sustainable for a long time in 2024.
The Jordanian government responded by taking strict measures on hundreds of demonstrators and political opponents.
In April 2024, when the demonstrations were close to its climax, the Jordan police said they were arrested by rioters and saboteurs while allowing citizens to express themselves.
Leave this Jordanian government in an increasingly difficult position, with a small space for internationally or locally.
In the parliamentary elections last September, the Muslim Brotherhood of the Muslim Brotherhood has made great gains, reaching from seven to 31 parliamentary seats out of a total of 138.
Those who had interviews with them said that Jordan’s importance to American regional interests should mean restoring foreign aid to the country faster than other places.
“What may help Jordan is the old schools, the two, the consensus wing in Washington, which believes that the Hashemites are indispensable to the American foreign policy in the region, and remembers Jordan’s assistance for decades to the various wars and interventions of the United States, and treatment. “It does not deserve to destabilize the long term.”
“Trump will need to retract this completely unrealistic proposal,” said Tokan. “If this official American policy becomes only, it will undermine Jordan’s stability, but only undermine Jordan’s stability, but in the entire region, including Egypt.”