Top Ten States Where Trump Did Better in 2024

President-elect Trump flipped six highly competitive states in his election victory last week. But as a Fox News analysis last week showed, his gains with voters weren’t limited to the battlefield.

The list covers the 10 states where Trump carried the most by his 2020 margin.

Notably, conservative strongholds aren’t the only states that made the list. The top 10 also includes deeply Democratic areas. Trump didn’t win those states, but he leaned to the right.

Votes are still being counted in some of the most populous states on the list, including California and New York.

In winning the election, Trump’s success went beyond the battlefield

Trump is speaking on the campaign trail.

Donald Trump’s gains in 2024 weren’t limited to battleground states. (AP Photo/Evan Vokey/File)

1. New York

Note: As of this writing, about 3% of ballots have not yet been counted in New York.

  • 2020 winner: Biden +23.1 points
  • 2024 winner: Harris +11.8 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 11 points

So far, New York has turned 11 points toward Trump.

New York City Skyline

New York swung for Trump by 11 points, with the president-elect’s biggest gains coming in Long Island and New York City. (Gary Hershhorn/Getty Images)

The president-elect posted a 6.3-point improvement over his 2020 vote share, while his Democratic rival, Vice President Harris, dropped five points.

He achieved statewide success, with his biggest swings in New York City and Long Island.

On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. With 97% of the votes counted, she is winning by 12 points.

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2. New Jersey

Note: As of this writing, about 1% of ballots have not yet been counted in New Jersey.

  • 2020 winner: Biden +15.9 points
  • 2024 winner: Harris +5.9 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 10 points

So far, New Jersey has swung 10 points toward Trump.

The president-elect posted a 4.7-point improvement in his 2020 vote share, while Harris dropped 5.3 points.

Cape May, New Jersey

New Jersey saw a 10-point swing toward the president-elect, with Passaic and Union counties, both filled with urban hot spots in the New York City suburbs, seeing the biggest swings toward him. (iStock)

He achieved success throughout New Jersey with his largest swings in the northeast corner of the state. Hudson and Passaic counties lead the pack.

On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. With 99% of the vote counted, she is winning by six points.

3. Florida

  • 2020 winner: Trump +3.3 points
  • 2024 winner: Trump +13.1 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 9.8 points

Florida swung 10 points for Trump.

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The president-elect posted a 4.9-point improvement in his 2020 vote share. Haris also lost the same amount.

He won across the state. The most notable swing was in Miami-Dade County, which flipped to the GOP for the first time since 1988.

On election night, the Fox News Verdict Desk predicted that Trump would win the state. With the results confirmed, he won by 13 points.

Miami Florida Beach

President-elect Trump won Florida with 13.1 percent of the vote, turning Miami-Dade County red among several others. (iStock)

4. Massachusetts

  • 2020 winner: Biden +33.6 points
  • 2024 winner: Harris +24.8 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 8.8 points

Massachusetts swung to Trump by nine points.

The president-elect posted a 4.2-point improvement in his 2020 vote share and Harris’ 4.6-point decline.

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He won statewide in Suffolk County, which includes Boston and Bristol counties, with double-digit swings.

On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. With 99% of the votes counted, she is winning by 25 points.

5. California

Note: As of this writing, about 5% of ballots have not yet been counted in California.

  • 2020 winner: Biden +29.2 points
  • 2024 Winner: Harris +20.6 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 8.6 points

So far, California has swung to Trump by nine points.

San France skyline

Vice President Harris saw no home-field advantage in his home state of California, which went to his opponent by about 8.6 percent. (Reuters/Carlos Berea)

The president-elect posted a 3.8-point improvement in his 2020 vote share as Harris fell from a 4.8-point deficit.

He won in many areas across the state, including the two most populous cities, Los Angeles and San Francisco.

On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. With 95% of the votes counted, she is winning by 21 points.

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6. Texas

  • 2020 winner: Trump +5.6 points
  • 2024 Winner: Trump +13.9 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 8.3 points

Texas swung for Trump by eight points.

The president-elect posted a 4.2-point improvement in his 2020 vote share. Harris slipped away with nearly the same amount.

Texas Highway

Texans, especially those in the Rio Grande Valley, have decidedly changed their voting habits this year, disappointing Democrats hoping for big gains in the suburbs of Dallas, Fort Worth, Houston and Austin. . (Callaghan OHare/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

He achieved success throughout Texas, with the largest swings in the southern parts of the state. Webb County, for example, home to Laredo, went 25 points to Trump. It gave the Republicans their first victory there in more than a century.

On election night, the Fox News Verdict Desk predicted that Trump would win the state. With 99% of the votes counted, he is winning by 14 points.

7. Mississippi

Note: As of this writing, about 2% of ballots have not yet been counted in Mississippi.

  • 2020 winner: Trump +16.5 points
  • 2024 winner: Trump +24.3 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 7.8 points

So far, Mississippi has swung to Trump by eight points.

The president-elect posted a four-point improvement in his 2020 vote share. Harris slipped away with nearly the same amount.

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He won statewide, including in Yazoo County, a majority black county that last voted GOP in 2004.

On election night, the Fox News Verdict Desk predicted that Trump would win the state. With 98% of the votes counted, he is winning by 24 points.

8. Rhode Island

  • 2020 winner: Biden +20.9 points
  • 2024 winner: Harris +13.6 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 7.3 points

Rhode Island swung for Trump by seven points.

Providence, Rhode Island

Rhode Island saw a 7.3 percent swing in Trump’s favor, with gains seen statewide, including in its capital, Providence. (Vision of America/Joseph Sohm/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

The president-elect posted a 3.3-point improvement in his 2020 vote share, while Harris fell by four points.

He won statewide, leading Providence, the city’s most populous area.

On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. With 98% of the votes counted, she is winning by 14 points.

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9. Tennessee

  • 2020 winner: Trump +23.2 points
  • 2024 winner: Trump +29.7 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 6.5 points

Tennessee swung 6.5 points toward Trump.

The president-elect posted a 3.5-point improvement in his 2020 vote share, while Harris lost three points.

Nashville Tennessee

Despite worrisome trends for Republicans in suburban Nashville in recent years, Tennessee came out decisively in Trump’s favor. Trousdale County, which lies just outside the metro area, swung for the president-elect by double digits. (iStock)

He won statewide, including in Trousdale County, a rural area outside the Nashville metropolitan area.

On election night, the Fox News Verdict Desk predicted that Trump would win the state. With 99% of the votes counted, he is winning by 30 points.

10. Illinois

Note: As of this writing, approximately 1% of ballots have not yet been counted in Illinois.

  • 2020 winner: Biden +16.9 points
  • 2024 winner: Harris +10.6 points
  • Leaning toward Trump: 6.3 points

So far, Illinois has swung to Trump by six points.

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The president-elect posted a 3.4-point improvement in his 2020 vote share. Harris dropped 2.9 points.

He won in Illinois, with a remarkable eight-point swing at Chicago’s home in Cook County.

On election night, the Fox News Decision Desk predicted that Harris would win the state. With 99% of the votes counted, she is winning by 11 points.


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